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Counterfactual impact evaluation of ESF-funded active labour market measures in Lithuania

In 2014-2015, PPMI, in partnership with the Lithuanian Ministry of Social Security and Labour, carried out a counterfactual impact evaluation (CIE) of ESF-funded support for the registered unemployed provided during the 2007–2013 period in Lithuania. We analysed administrative data of over 900,000 unemployed persons to estimate the impact of wage subsidies and vocational training on the number of days in employment and income of the participants. The evaluation was financed by the European Commission (DG EMPL) under the call for proposals 'Pilot Projects to carry out ESF related Counterfactual Impact Evaluations (CIEs)'. It aimed to promote wider use of CIEs when evaluating ESF-funded interventions and to contribute to a better understanding of the impact of active labour market policies on the labour market outcomes for the unemployed, especially during the economic downturn. The evaluation was awarded as a winner of the competition “EU Cohesion Policy: Best Completed Evaluation” 2016 organised by DG REGIO and DG EMPL.